The cave of shadows: Addressing the human factor with generalized additive mixed models

•GAMs can model autocorrelations in experimental data.•These autocorrelations arise due to learning, fatigue, or fluctuations in attention.•Three data sets illustrate that this human factor interacts with predictors of interest.•Within the framework of GAMs, maximal models are ill-advised.•Alternati...

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Published inJournal of memory and language Vol. 94; pp. 206 - 234
Main Authors Baayen, Harald, Vasishth, Shravan, Kliegl, Reinhold, Bates, Douglas
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier Inc 01.06.2017
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0749-596X
1096-0821
DOI10.1016/j.jml.2016.11.006

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Abstract •GAMs can model autocorrelations in experimental data.•These autocorrelations arise due to learning, fatigue, or fluctuations in attention.•Three data sets illustrate that this human factor interacts with predictors of interest.•Within the framework of GAMs, maximal models are ill-advised.•Alternative regression modeling strategies are discussed. Generalized additive mixed models are introduced as an extension of the generalized linear mixed model which makes it possible to deal with temporal autocorrelational structure in experimental data. This autocorrelational structure is likely to be a consequence of learning, fatigue, or the ebb and flow of attention within an experiment (the ‘human factor’). Unlike molecules or plots of barley, subjects in psycholinguistic experiments are intelligent beings that depend for their survival on constant adaptation to their environment, including the environment of an experiment. Three data sets illustrate that the human factor may interact with predictors of interest, both factorial and metric. We also show that, especially within the framework of the generalized additive model, in the nonlinear world, fitting maximally complex models that take every possible contingency into account is ill-advised as a modeling strategy. Alternative modeling strategies are discussed for both confirmatory and exploratory data analysis.
AbstractList •GAMs can model autocorrelations in experimental data.•These autocorrelations arise due to learning, fatigue, or fluctuations in attention.•Three data sets illustrate that this human factor interacts with predictors of interest.•Within the framework of GAMs, maximal models are ill-advised.•Alternative regression modeling strategies are discussed. Generalized additive mixed models are introduced as an extension of the generalized linear mixed model which makes it possible to deal with temporal autocorrelational structure in experimental data. This autocorrelational structure is likely to be a consequence of learning, fatigue, or the ebb and flow of attention within an experiment (the ‘human factor’). Unlike molecules or plots of barley, subjects in psycholinguistic experiments are intelligent beings that depend for their survival on constant adaptation to their environment, including the environment of an experiment. Three data sets illustrate that the human factor may interact with predictors of interest, both factorial and metric. We also show that, especially within the framework of the generalized additive model, in the nonlinear world, fitting maximally complex models that take every possible contingency into account is ill-advised as a modeling strategy. Alternative modeling strategies are discussed for both confirmatory and exploratory data analysis.
Author Bates, Douglas
Baayen, Harald
Vasishth, Shravan
Kliegl, Reinhold
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  fullname: Baayen, Harald
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– sequence: 2
  givenname: Shravan
  surname: Vasishth
  fullname: Vasishth, Shravan
  organization: University of Potsdam, Germany
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  givenname: Reinhold
  surname: Kliegl
  fullname: Kliegl, Reinhold
  organization: University of Potsdam, Germany
– sequence: 4
  givenname: Douglas
  surname: Bates
  fullname: Bates, Douglas
  organization: University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA
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Snippet •GAMs can model autocorrelations in experimental data.•These autocorrelations arise due to learning, fatigue, or fluctuations in attention.•Three data sets...
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StartPage 206
SubjectTerms Autocorrelation
Confirmatory versus exploratory data analysis
Experimental time series
Generalized additive mixed models
Model selection
Within-experiment adaptation
Title The cave of shadows: Addressing the human factor with generalized additive mixed models
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jml.2016.11.006
Volume 94
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