Can Future CO2 Concentrations Mitigate the Negative Effects of High Temperature and Longer Droughts on Forest Growth?
(1) Background: Climate change may subject forests to climate conditions to which they are not adapted. Elevated temperatures can potentially reduce net photosynthesis by increasing respiration rates and increasingly long droughts dramatically increase morbidity. While CO2 enrichment enhances produc...
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Published in | Forests Vol. 9; no. 11; p. 664 |
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Main Authors | , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
24.10.2018
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ISSN | 1999-4907 1999-4907 |
DOI | 10.3390/f9110664 |
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Abstract | (1) Background: Climate change may subject forests to climate conditions to which they are not adapted. Elevated temperatures can potentially reduce net photosynthesis by increasing respiration rates and increasingly long droughts dramatically increase morbidity. While CO2 enrichment enhances productivity, it is not clear to what extent CO2 enrichment can offset the negative effects of elevated temperatures and longer droughts; (2) Methods: We used a mechanistic landscape model to conduct controlled simulation experiments manipulating CO2 concentration, temperature, drought length and soil water capacity; (3) Results: We found that elevated CO2 stimulates productivity such that it dwarfs the negative effect caused by elevated temperature. Energy reserves were not as strongly mitigated by elevated CO2, and the mortality of less competitive cohorts increased. Drought length had a surprisingly small effect on productivity measures, but longer droughts increased the risk of mortality; (4) Conclusions: Elevated CO2 compensated for the negative effect of longer droughts in terms of productivity measures, but not survival measures. |
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AbstractList | (1) Background: Climate change may subject forests to climate conditions to which they are not adapted. Elevated temperatures can potentially reduce net photosynthesis by increasing respiration rates and increasingly long droughts dramatically increase morbidity. While CO2 enrichment enhances productivity, it is not clear to what extent CO2 enrichment can offset the negative effects of elevated temperatures and longer droughts; (2) Methods: We used a mechanistic landscape model to conduct controlled simulation experiments manipulating CO2 concentration, temperature, drought length and soil water capacity; (3) Results: We found that elevated CO2 stimulates productivity such that it dwarfs the negative effect caused by elevated temperature. Energy reserves were not as strongly mitigated by elevated CO2, and the mortality of less competitive cohorts increased. Drought length had a surprisingly small effect on productivity measures, but longer droughts increased the risk of mortality; (4) Conclusions: Elevated CO2 compensated for the negative effect of longer droughts in terms of productivity measures, but not survival measures. |
Author | Miranda, Brian R. Gustafson, Eric J. Sturtevant, Brian R. |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Eric J. surname: Gustafson fullname: Gustafson, Eric J. – sequence: 2 givenname: Brian R. orcidid: 0000-0002-3506-8297 surname: Miranda fullname: Miranda, Brian R. – sequence: 3 givenname: Brian R. surname: Sturtevant fullname: Sturtevant, Brian R. |
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CitedBy_id | crossref_primary_10_1111_ppl_13984 crossref_primary_10_1002_ecs2_3162 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_foreco_2020_118208 crossref_primary_10_3389_ffgc_2023_1020305 crossref_primary_10_3389_fevo_2021_653393 crossref_primary_10_3389_fpls_2023_1212406 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_aeaoa_2022_100163 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41598_023_41790_2 crossref_primary_10_5194_gmd_15_6495_2022 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_024_02204_x |
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