Conformity in the lab
We use a revealed preference approach to disentangle conformity, an intrinsic taste to follow others, from information-driven herding. We provide observations from a series of sequential decision-making experiments in which subjects choose the type of information they observe before making their dec...
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Published in | Journal of the Economic Science Association Vol. 1; no. 1; pp. 15 - 28 |
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Main Authors | , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
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Springer US
01.07.2015
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Abstract | We use a revealed preference approach to disentangle conformity, an intrinsic taste to follow others, from information-driven herding. We provide observations from a series of sequential decision-making experiments in which subjects
choose
the type of information they observe before making their decision. Namely, subjects choose between observing a private (statistically informative) signal or the history of play of predecessors who
have not
chosen a private signal (i.e., a statistically uninformative word-of-mouth signal). In our setup, subjects choose the statistically uninformative social signal
34
%
of the time and, of those,
88
%
follow their observed predecessors’ actions. When allowing for payoff externalities by paying subjects according to the collective action chosen by majority rule, the results are amplifed and the social signal is chosen in
51
%
of all cases, and
59
%
of those who pick the social signal follow the majority choice. The results from the majority treatment demonstrate that conformist behavior is not driven by inequality aversion, nor by strategic voting behavior in which voters balance others who are uninformed. Raising the stakes five-fold does not eliminate conformist behavior; in both treatments, the social signal is chosen nearly
50
%
of the time. Individual level analysis yields the identification of rules of thumb subjects use in making their decisions. |
---|---|
AbstractList | We use a revealed preference approach to disentangle conformity, an intrinsic taste to follow others, from information-driven herding. We provide observations from a series of sequential decision-making experiments in which subjects
choose
the type of information they observe before making their decision. Namely, subjects choose between observing a private (statistically informative) signal or the history of play of predecessors who
have not
chosen a private signal (i.e., a statistically uninformative word-of-mouth signal). In our setup, subjects choose the statistically uninformative social signal
34
%
of the time and, of those,
88
%
follow their observed predecessors’ actions. When allowing for payoff externalities by paying subjects according to the collective action chosen by majority rule, the results are amplifed and the social signal is chosen in
51
%
of all cases, and
59
%
of those who pick the social signal follow the majority choice. The results from the majority treatment demonstrate that conformist behavior is not driven by inequality aversion, nor by strategic voting behavior in which voters balance others who are uninformed. Raising the stakes five-fold does not eliminate conformist behavior; in both treatments, the social signal is chosen nearly
50
%
of the time. Individual level analysis yields the identification of rules of thumb subjects use in making their decisions. We use a revealed preference approach to disentangle conformity, an intrinsic taste to follow others, from information-driven herding. We provide observations from a series of sequential decision-making experiments in which subjects choose the type of information they observe before making their decision. Namely, subjects choose between observing a private (statistically informative) signal or the history of play of predecessors who have not chosen a private signal (i.e., a statistically uninformative word-of-mouth signal). In our setup, subjects choose the statistically uninformative social signal 34 % of the time and, of those, 88 % follow their observed predecessors’ actions. When allowing for payoff externalities by paying subjects according to the collective action chosen by majority rule, the results are amplifed and the social signal is chosen in 51 % of all cases, and 59 % of those who pick the social signal follow the majority choice. The results from the majority treatment demonstrate that conformist behavior is not driven by inequality aversion, nor by strategic voting behavior in which voters balance others who are uninformed. Raising the stakes five-fold does not eliminate conformist behavior; in both treatments, the social signal is chosen nearly 50 % of the time. Individual level analysis yields the identification of rules of thumb subjects use in making their decisions. |
Author | Yariv, Leeat Goeree, Jacob K. |
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Cites_doi | 10.1016/j.ijindorg.2006.04.016 10.1257/000282805775014317 10.2307/2785261 10.1111/1467-937X.00233 10.2307/2171898 10.1257/jep.12.3.151 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00731.x 10.1007/s10683-006-9159-4 10.1016/j.econlet.2007.02.024 10.1162/003355399556151 10.1287/mnsc.1110.1506 10.1111/0034-6527.00290 10.2307/2118364 10.1257/aer.91.5.1508 10.1093/ei/39.4.609 10.1257/0002828041464461 10.3982/ECTA8852 10.1016/0014-2921(95)00074-7 10.1016/j.jet.2006.07.006 10.1086/261849 |
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References | ÇelenBKarivSDistinguishing informational cascades from herd behavior in the laboratoryAmerican Economic Review200494348449710.1257/0002828041464461 AndersonLPayoff effects in information cascade experimentsEconomic Inquiry200139460961510.1093/ei/39.4.609 SherifMAn experimental approach to the study of attitudesSociometry19371909810.2307/2785261 ClementMBTseSYFinancial analyst characteristics and herding behavior in forecastingThe Journal of Finance200560130734110.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00731.x OffermanTPottersJSonnemansJImitation and belief learning in an oligopoly experimentReview of Economic Studies200269497399710.1111/1467-937X.00233 Asch, S.E. (1958). Effects of group pressure upon the modification and distortion of judgements. In E.E. Maccoby, T.M. Newcomb, and E.L. Hartley, (eds.), Readings in social psychology. (pp. 174–183). New York: Holt. FehrESchmidtKMA theory of fairness, competition and cooperationQuarterly Journal of Economics1999114381486810.1162/003355399556151 Vega-RedondoFThe evolution of Walrasian behaviorEconometrica199765237538410.2307/2171898 ApesteguiaJHuckSOechsslerJImitation—theory and experimental evidenceJournal of Economic Theory2007136121723510.1016/j.jet.2006.07.006 Drehmann, M., Oechssler, J., & Roider, A., (2007). Herding with and without payoff externalities—an internet experiment. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 25(2), pp. 391–415. HungAPlottCRInformation cascades: replication and an extension to majority rule and conformity-rewarding institutionsAmerican Economic Review20019151508152010.1257/aer.91.5.1508 ÇelenBHyndmanKSocial learning through endogenous information acquisition: an experimentManagement Science20125881525154810.1287/mnsc.1110.1506 AndersonLRHoltCAInformation cascades in the laboratoryAmerican Economic Review1997875847862 BanerjeeAVA simple model of herd behaviorQuarterly Journal of Economics1992107379781710.2307/2118364 Agranov, M., Goeree, J.K. Romero, J., Yariv L. (2014) What makes voters turn out: the effects of polls and beliefs, mimeo. GaleDWhat have we learned from social learning?European Economic Review1996403–561762810.1016/0014-2921(95)00074-7 FischbacherUz-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experimentsExperimental Economics200710217117810.1007/s10683-006-9159-4 GoereeJYarivLAn experimental study of collective deliberationEconometrica201179389392110.3982/ECTA8852 BikhchandaniSHirshleiferDWelchILearning from the behavior of others: conformity, fads, and informational cascadesJournal of Economic Perspectives199812315117010.1257/jep.12.3.151 CorrazziniLGreinerBHerding, social preferences and (non-) conformityEconomics Letters2007971748010.1016/j.econlet.2007.02.024 BikhchandaniSHirshleiferDWelchIA theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural change as information cascadesJournal of Political Economy19921005992102610.1086/261849 FeddersenTJPesendorferWThe swing voter’s curseAmerican Economic Review1996863408424 DrehmannMOechsslerJRoiderAHerding and contrarian behavior in financial markets—an internet experimentAmerican Economic Review20059551403142610.1257/000282805775014317 KüblerDWeizsäckerGLimited depth of reasoning and failure of cascade formation in the laboratoryReview of Economic Studies20047142544110.1111/0034-6527.00290 Feddersen (S2199678415001813_CR15) 1996; 86 S2199678415001813_CR4 Anderson (S2199678415001813_CR3) 1997; 87 S2199678415001813_CR2 S2199678415001813_CR8 S2199678415001813_CR9 S2199678415001813_CR6 S2199678415001813_CR7 S2199678415001813_CR17 S2199678415001813_CR18 S2199678415001813_CR1 Goeree (S2199678415001813_CR19) 2011; 79 S2199678415001813_CR20 S2199678415001813_CR21 S2199678415001813_CR10 S2199678415001813_CR22 S2199678415001813_CR11 S2199678415001813_CR23 Asch (S2199678415001813_CR5) 1958 S2199678415001813_CR12 S2199678415001813_CR13 S2199678415001813_CR24 S2199678415001813_CR14 S2199678415001813_CR16 |
References_xml | – reference: FeddersenTJPesendorferWThe swing voter’s curseAmerican Economic Review1996863408424 – reference: ÇelenBKarivSDistinguishing informational cascades from herd behavior in the laboratoryAmerican Economic Review200494348449710.1257/0002828041464461 – reference: AndersonLRHoltCAInformation cascades in the laboratoryAmerican Economic Review1997875847862 – reference: KüblerDWeizsäckerGLimited depth of reasoning and failure of cascade formation in the laboratoryReview of Economic Studies20047142544110.1111/0034-6527.00290 – reference: Asch, S.E. (1958). Effects of group pressure upon the modification and distortion of judgements. In E.E. Maccoby, T.M. Newcomb, and E.L. Hartley, (eds.), Readings in social psychology. (pp. 174–183). New York: Holt. – reference: Agranov, M., Goeree, J.K. Romero, J., Yariv L. (2014) What makes voters turn out: the effects of polls and beliefs, mimeo. – reference: DrehmannMOechsslerJRoiderAHerding and contrarian behavior in financial markets—an internet experimentAmerican Economic Review20059551403142610.1257/000282805775014317 – reference: GaleDWhat have we learned from social learning?European Economic Review1996403–561762810.1016/0014-2921(95)00074-7 – reference: CorrazziniLGreinerBHerding, social preferences and (non-) conformityEconomics Letters2007971748010.1016/j.econlet.2007.02.024 – reference: Vega-RedondoFThe evolution of Walrasian behaviorEconometrica199765237538410.2307/2171898 – reference: BikhchandaniSHirshleiferDWelchIA theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural change as information cascadesJournal of Political Economy19921005992102610.1086/261849 – reference: SherifMAn experimental approach to the study of attitudesSociometry19371909810.2307/2785261 – reference: BikhchandaniSHirshleiferDWelchILearning from the behavior of others: conformity, fads, and informational cascadesJournal of Economic Perspectives199812315117010.1257/jep.12.3.151 – reference: ÇelenBHyndmanKSocial learning through endogenous information acquisition: an experimentManagement Science20125881525154810.1287/mnsc.1110.1506 – reference: OffermanTPottersJSonnemansJImitation and belief learning in an oligopoly experimentReview of Economic Studies200269497399710.1111/1467-937X.00233 – reference: FischbacherUz-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experimentsExperimental Economics200710217117810.1007/s10683-006-9159-4 – reference: AndersonLPayoff effects in information cascade experimentsEconomic Inquiry200139460961510.1093/ei/39.4.609 – reference: ApesteguiaJHuckSOechsslerJImitation—theory and experimental evidenceJournal of Economic Theory2007136121723510.1016/j.jet.2006.07.006 – reference: GoereeJYarivLAn experimental study of collective deliberationEconometrica201179389392110.3982/ECTA8852 – reference: HungAPlottCRInformation cascades: replication and an extension to majority rule and conformity-rewarding institutionsAmerican Economic Review20019151508152010.1257/aer.91.5.1508 – reference: BanerjeeAVA simple model of herd behaviorQuarterly Journal of Economics1992107379781710.2307/2118364 – reference: ClementMBTseSYFinancial analyst characteristics and herding behavior in forecastingThe Journal of Finance200560130734110.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00731.x – reference: FehrESchmidtKMA theory of fairness, competition and cooperationQuarterly Journal of Economics1999114381486810.1162/003355399556151 – reference: Drehmann, M., Oechssler, J., & Roider, A., (2007). Herding with and without payoff externalities—an internet experiment. 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