Conformity in the lab

We use a revealed preference approach to disentangle conformity, an intrinsic taste to follow others, from information-driven herding. We provide observations from a series of sequential decision-making experiments in which subjects choose the type of information they observe before making their dec...

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Published inJournal of the Economic Science Association Vol. 1; no. 1; pp. 15 - 28
Main Authors Goeree, Jacob K., Yariv, Leeat
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published New York Springer US 01.07.2015
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Abstract We use a revealed preference approach to disentangle conformity, an intrinsic taste to follow others, from information-driven herding. We provide observations from a series of sequential decision-making experiments in which subjects choose the type of information they observe before making their decision. Namely, subjects choose between observing a private (statistically informative) signal or the history of play of predecessors who have not chosen a private signal (i.e., a statistically uninformative word-of-mouth signal). In our setup, subjects choose the statistically uninformative social signal 34 % of the time and, of those, 88 % follow their observed predecessors’ actions. When allowing for payoff externalities by paying subjects according to the collective action chosen by majority rule, the results are amplifed and the social signal is chosen in 51 % of all cases, and 59 % of those who pick the social signal follow the majority choice. The results from the majority treatment demonstrate that conformist behavior is not driven by inequality aversion, nor by strategic voting behavior in which voters balance others who are uninformed. Raising the stakes five-fold does not eliminate conformist behavior; in both treatments, the social signal is chosen nearly 50 % of the time. Individual level analysis yields the identification of rules of thumb subjects use in making their decisions.
AbstractList We use a revealed preference approach to disentangle conformity, an intrinsic taste to follow others, from information-driven herding. We provide observations from a series of sequential decision-making experiments in which subjects choose the type of information they observe before making their decision. Namely, subjects choose between observing a private (statistically informative) signal or the history of play of predecessors who have not chosen a private signal (i.e., a statistically uninformative word-of-mouth signal). In our setup, subjects choose the statistically uninformative social signal 34 % of the time and, of those, 88 % follow their observed predecessors’ actions. When allowing for payoff externalities by paying subjects according to the collective action chosen by majority rule, the results are amplifed and the social signal is chosen in 51 % of all cases, and 59 % of those who pick the social signal follow the majority choice. The results from the majority treatment demonstrate that conformist behavior is not driven by inequality aversion, nor by strategic voting behavior in which voters balance others who are uninformed. Raising the stakes five-fold does not eliminate conformist behavior; in both treatments, the social signal is chosen nearly 50 % of the time. Individual level analysis yields the identification of rules of thumb subjects use in making their decisions.
We use a revealed preference approach to disentangle conformity, an intrinsic taste to follow others, from information-driven herding. We provide observations from a series of sequential decision-making experiments in which subjects choose the type of information they observe before making their decision. Namely, subjects choose between observing a private (statistically informative) signal or the history of play of predecessors who have not chosen a private signal (i.e., a statistically uninformative word-of-mouth signal). In our setup, subjects choose the statistically uninformative social signal 34 % of the time and, of those, 88 % follow their observed predecessors’ actions. When allowing for payoff externalities by paying subjects according to the collective action chosen by majority rule, the results are amplifed and the social signal is chosen in 51 % of all cases, and 59 % of those who pick the social signal follow the majority choice. The results from the majority treatment demonstrate that conformist behavior is not driven by inequality aversion, nor by strategic voting behavior in which voters balance others who are uninformed. Raising the stakes five-fold does not eliminate conformist behavior; in both treatments, the social signal is chosen nearly 50 % of the time. Individual level analysis yields the identification of rules of thumb subjects use in making their decisions.
Author Yariv, Leeat
Goeree, Jacob K.
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Keywords Social learning
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References ÇelenBKarivSDistinguishing informational cascades from herd behavior in the laboratoryAmerican Economic Review200494348449710.1257/0002828041464461
AndersonLPayoff effects in information cascade experimentsEconomic Inquiry200139460961510.1093/ei/39.4.609
SherifMAn experimental approach to the study of attitudesSociometry19371909810.2307/2785261
ClementMBTseSYFinancial analyst characteristics and herding behavior in forecastingThe Journal of Finance200560130734110.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00731.x
OffermanTPottersJSonnemansJImitation and belief learning in an oligopoly experimentReview of Economic Studies200269497399710.1111/1467-937X.00233
Asch, S.E. (1958). Effects of group pressure upon the modification and distortion of judgements. In E.E. Maccoby, T.M. Newcomb, and E.L. Hartley, (eds.), Readings in social psychology. (pp. 174–183). New York: Holt.
FehrESchmidtKMA theory of fairness, competition and cooperationQuarterly Journal of Economics1999114381486810.1162/003355399556151
Vega-RedondoFThe evolution of Walrasian behaviorEconometrica199765237538410.2307/2171898
ApesteguiaJHuckSOechsslerJImitation—theory and experimental evidenceJournal of Economic Theory2007136121723510.1016/j.jet.2006.07.006
Drehmann, M., Oechssler, J., & Roider, A., (2007). Herding with and without payoff externalities—an internet experiment. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 25(2), pp. 391–415.
HungAPlottCRInformation cascades: replication and an extension to majority rule and conformity-rewarding institutionsAmerican Economic Review20019151508152010.1257/aer.91.5.1508
ÇelenBHyndmanKSocial learning through endogenous information acquisition: an experimentManagement Science20125881525154810.1287/mnsc.1110.1506
AndersonLRHoltCAInformation cascades in the laboratoryAmerican Economic Review1997875847862
BanerjeeAVA simple model of herd behaviorQuarterly Journal of Economics1992107379781710.2307/2118364
Agranov, M., Goeree, J.K. Romero, J., Yariv L. (2014) What makes voters turn out: the effects of polls and beliefs, mimeo.
GaleDWhat have we learned from social learning?European Economic Review1996403–561762810.1016/0014-2921(95)00074-7
FischbacherUz-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experimentsExperimental Economics200710217117810.1007/s10683-006-9159-4
GoereeJYarivLAn experimental study of collective deliberationEconometrica201179389392110.3982/ECTA8852
BikhchandaniSHirshleiferDWelchILearning from the behavior of others: conformity, fads, and informational cascadesJournal of Economic Perspectives199812315117010.1257/jep.12.3.151
CorrazziniLGreinerBHerding, social preferences and (non-) conformityEconomics Letters2007971748010.1016/j.econlet.2007.02.024
BikhchandaniSHirshleiferDWelchIA theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural change as information cascadesJournal of Political Economy19921005992102610.1086/261849
FeddersenTJPesendorferWThe swing voter’s curseAmerican Economic Review1996863408424
DrehmannMOechsslerJRoiderAHerding and contrarian behavior in financial markets—an internet experimentAmerican Economic Review20059551403142610.1257/000282805775014317
KüblerDWeizsäckerGLimited depth of reasoning and failure of cascade formation in the laboratoryReview of Economic Studies20047142544110.1111/0034-6527.00290
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– reference: ÇelenBKarivSDistinguishing informational cascades from herd behavior in the laboratoryAmerican Economic Review200494348449710.1257/0002828041464461
– reference: AndersonLRHoltCAInformation cascades in the laboratoryAmerican Economic Review1997875847862
– reference: KüblerDWeizsäckerGLimited depth of reasoning and failure of cascade formation in the laboratoryReview of Economic Studies20047142544110.1111/0034-6527.00290
– reference: Asch, S.E. (1958). Effects of group pressure upon the modification and distortion of judgements. In E.E. Maccoby, T.M. Newcomb, and E.L. Hartley, (eds.), Readings in social psychology. (pp. 174–183). New York: Holt.
– reference: Agranov, M., Goeree, J.K. Romero, J., Yariv L. (2014) What makes voters turn out: the effects of polls and beliefs, mimeo.
– reference: DrehmannMOechsslerJRoiderAHerding and contrarian behavior in financial markets—an internet experimentAmerican Economic Review20059551403142610.1257/000282805775014317
– reference: GaleDWhat have we learned from social learning?European Economic Review1996403–561762810.1016/0014-2921(95)00074-7
– reference: CorrazziniLGreinerBHerding, social preferences and (non-) conformityEconomics Letters2007971748010.1016/j.econlet.2007.02.024
– reference: Vega-RedondoFThe evolution of Walrasian behaviorEconometrica199765237538410.2307/2171898
– reference: BikhchandaniSHirshleiferDWelchIA theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural change as information cascadesJournal of Political Economy19921005992102610.1086/261849
– reference: SherifMAn experimental approach to the study of attitudesSociometry19371909810.2307/2785261
– reference: BikhchandaniSHirshleiferDWelchILearning from the behavior of others: conformity, fads, and informational cascadesJournal of Economic Perspectives199812315117010.1257/jep.12.3.151
– reference: ÇelenBHyndmanKSocial learning through endogenous information acquisition: an experimentManagement Science20125881525154810.1287/mnsc.1110.1506
– reference: OffermanTPottersJSonnemansJImitation and belief learning in an oligopoly experimentReview of Economic Studies200269497399710.1111/1467-937X.00233
– reference: FischbacherUz-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experimentsExperimental Economics200710217117810.1007/s10683-006-9159-4
– reference: AndersonLPayoff effects in information cascade experimentsEconomic Inquiry200139460961510.1093/ei/39.4.609
– reference: ApesteguiaJHuckSOechsslerJImitation—theory and experimental evidenceJournal of Economic Theory2007136121723510.1016/j.jet.2006.07.006
– reference: GoereeJYarivLAn experimental study of collective deliberationEconometrica201179389392110.3982/ECTA8852
– reference: HungAPlottCRInformation cascades: replication and an extension to majority rule and conformity-rewarding institutionsAmerican Economic Review20019151508152010.1257/aer.91.5.1508
– reference: BanerjeeAVA simple model of herd behaviorQuarterly Journal of Economics1992107379781710.2307/2118364
– reference: ClementMBTseSYFinancial analyst characteristics and herding behavior in forecastingThe Journal of Finance200560130734110.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00731.x
– reference: FehrESchmidtKMA theory of fairness, competition and cooperationQuarterly Journal of Economics1999114381486810.1162/003355399556151
– reference: Drehmann, M., Oechssler, J., & Roider, A., (2007). Herding with and without payoff externalities—an internet experiment. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 25(2), pp. 391–415.
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  article-title: The swing voter’s curse
  publication-title: American Economic Review
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  doi: 10.1257/000282805775014317
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  doi: 10.2307/2171898
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  article-title: Information cascades in the laboratory
  publication-title: American Economic Review
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  doi: 10.1257/jep.12.3.151
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  doi: 10.1162/003355399556151
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  doi: 10.1111/0034-6527.00290
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  doi: 10.1257/aer.91.5.1508
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  doi: 10.1093/ei/39.4.609
– ident: S2199678415001813_CR10
  doi: 10.1257/0002828041464461
– start-page: 174
  volume-title: Effects of group pressure upon the modification and distortion of judgements
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– volume: 79
  start-page: 893
  year: 2011
  ident: S2199678415001813_CR19
  article-title: An experimental study of collective deliberation
  publication-title: Econometrica
  doi: 10.3982/ECTA8852
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  doi: 10.1016/0014-2921(95)00074-7
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  doi: 10.1016/j.jet.2006.07.006
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  doi: 10.1086/261849
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Snippet We use a revealed preference approach to disentangle conformity, an intrinsic taste to follow others, from information-driven herding. We provide observations...
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SubjectTerms Behavioral/Experimental Economics
Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods
Economics
Economics and Finance
Game Theory
Microeconomics
Operations Research/Decision Theory
Original Paper
Social and Behav. Sciences
Title Conformity in the lab
URI https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40881-015-0001-7
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