Incorporating inconsistency patterns on road networks into crash modeling

•Defines patterns of local speed-inconsistencies in terms of spread, contiguity, frequency, density and magnitude.•A novel method for quantifying inconsistency-contiguity and inconsistency-frequency are developed.•Segment-region integrated models consistently outperform their non-integrated counterp...

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Published inAnalytic methods in accident research Vol. 43; p. 100340
Main Authors Shilpa, R.N., Bhavathrathan, B.K.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier Ltd 01.09.2024
Subjects
Consistency
Crash Analysis
Frequency-hyperplane
Integrated micro–macro model
Road network safety
Spatial-pattern
Crash Analysis
Spatial-pattern
Integrated micro–macro model
Road network safety
Frequency-hyperplane
Consistency
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN2213-6657
2213-6657
DOI10.1016/j.amar.2024.100340

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Abstract •Defines patterns of local speed-inconsistencies in terms of spread, contiguity, frequency, density and magnitude.•A novel method for quantifying inconsistency-contiguity and inconsistency-frequency are developed.•Segment-region integrated models consistently outperform their non-integrated counterparts.•Vulnerability contours on frequency-hyperplane is introduced as a tool to map regions’ relative safety. This paper expands the scope of geometric design inconsistency analysis from corridor scales to network-wide perspectives, exploring the impact of inconsistencies’ spatial-patterns on crashes, which remains largely under-explored. We define spatial-patterns of segment-level inconsistencies, focusing on their spread, contiguity, frequency, density, and magnitude. We devise a new method to measure inconsistency-contiguity and inconsistency-frequency based on adjacent segment-triplets within regions. Through micro–macro integrated models, we reveal the scalable influence of inconsistency which remain significant at the segment-level but gets modulated by spatial-patterns at the regional-level. The integrated models consistently outperform their non-integrated counterparts, emphasizing the importance of this integrated approach. This study highlights that regions with rare inconsistency occurrences demonstrate higher crash counts, while regions with uniform inconsistency occurrences exhibit lower crash rates, unveiling insights into the road conditions’ impact on driver behavior. Finally, we also propose a novel tool - vulnerability contours on frequency-hyperplane to map regions’ relative safety.
AbstractList •Defines patterns of local speed-inconsistencies in terms of spread, contiguity, frequency, density and magnitude.•A novel method for quantifying inconsistency-contiguity and inconsistency-frequency are developed.•Segment-region integrated models consistently outperform their non-integrated counterparts.•Vulnerability contours on frequency-hyperplane is introduced as a tool to map regions’ relative safety. This paper expands the scope of geometric design inconsistency analysis from corridor scales to network-wide perspectives, exploring the impact of inconsistencies’ spatial-patterns on crashes, which remains largely under-explored. We define spatial-patterns of segment-level inconsistencies, focusing on their spread, contiguity, frequency, density, and magnitude. We devise a new method to measure inconsistency-contiguity and inconsistency-frequency based on adjacent segment-triplets within regions. Through micro–macro integrated models, we reveal the scalable influence of inconsistency which remain significant at the segment-level but gets modulated by spatial-patterns at the regional-level. The integrated models consistently outperform their non-integrated counterparts, emphasizing the importance of this integrated approach. This study highlights that regions with rare inconsistency occurrences demonstrate higher crash counts, while regions with uniform inconsistency occurrences exhibit lower crash rates, unveiling insights into the road conditions’ impact on driver behavior. Finally, we also propose a novel tool - vulnerability contours on frequency-hyperplane to map regions’ relative safety.
ArticleNumber 100340
Author Shilpa, R.N.
Bhavathrathan, B.K.
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  email: bhavathrathan@iitpkd.ac.in
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Keywords Crash Analysis
Spatial-pattern
Integrated micro–macro model
Road network safety
Frequency-hyperplane
Consistency
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Snippet •Defines patterns of local speed-inconsistencies in terms of spread, contiguity, frequency, density and magnitude.•A novel method for quantifying...
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StartPage 100340
SubjectTerms Consistency
Crash Analysis
Frequency-hyperplane
Integrated micro–macro model
Road network safety
Spatial-pattern
Title Incorporating inconsistency patterns on road networks into crash modeling
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amar.2024.100340
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