Downscaling probability of long heatwaves based on seasonal mean daily maximum temperatures

• Published in: Advances in statistical climatology, meteorology and oceanography Vol. 4; no. 1/2; pp. 37 - 52
• Main Authors: Benestad, Rasmus E., van Oort, Bob, Justino, Flavio, Stordal, Frode, Parding, Kajsa M., Mezghani, Abdelkader, Erlandsen, Helene B., Sillmann, Jana, Pereira-Flores, Milton E.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English; Norwegian
• Published: Gottingen Copernicus GmbH 01.01.2018; Copernicus Publications
• Subjects: Case studies; Cereal crops; Climate; Climate models; Climatic conditions; Crop yield; Duration; Emissions; Empirical analysis; Estimates; Global climate; Global climate models; Heat waves; Intercomparison; Mathematical models; Maximum temperatures; Modelling; Principal components analysis; Probability; Probability theory; Statistical analysis; Statistical methods; Statistical models; Wheat

A methodology for estimating and downscaling the probability associated with the duration of heatwaves is presented and applied as a case study for Indian wheat crops. These probability estimates make use of empirical-statistical downscaling and statistical modelling of probability of occurrence and...