MATHEMATICAL ASSESSMENT ON DYNAMICS OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT PER CAPITA, IN ROMANIA AND EUROPEAN UNION
The research purpose represents the identification and mathematical definition of some models expressed by regression equations describing the GE per inhabitant according to the GDP per inhabitant. The study is customized at EU level and in seven states located in the Eastern-EU (RO, PL, GR, BG, SI,...
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Published in | Journal of the sciences and arts Vol. 21; no. 1; pp. 199 - 220 |
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Main Authors | , , , , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Targoviste
Valahia State University under the authority of The National University Research Council
01.01.2021
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Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
ISSN | 1844-9581 2068-3049 |
DOI | 10.46939/J.Sci.Arts-21.1-a16 |
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Abstract | The research purpose represents the identification and mathematical definition of some models expressed by regression equations describing the GE per inhabitant according to the GDP per inhabitant. The study is customized at EU level and in seven states located in the Eastern-EU (RO, PL, GR, BG, SI, SK and HU) for the period 2009-2018. The research methodology is based on econometric modelling and testing of their viability. Relevant conclusions are also made regarding RO's position in the European Union in terms of government spending. The research provides useful information to substantiate micro and macroeconomic decisions designed to ensure a dynamic of GE’s sustainable growth on education, health, general public services, defense, public order and safety. Based on the developed econometric models, values of endogenous variables (GE per capita) can be estimated depending on the variants of predictable scenarios for the size of the GDP per capita. |
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AbstractList | The research purpose represents the identification and mathematical definition of some models expressed by regression equations describing the GE per inhabitant according to the GDP per inhabitant. The study is customized at EU level and in seven states located in the Eastern-EU (RO, PL, GR, BG, SI, SK and HU) for the period 2009-2018. The research methodology is based on econometric modelling and testing of their viability. Relevant conclusions are also made regarding RO's position in the European Union in terms of government spending. The research provides useful information to substantiate micro and macroeconomic decisions designed to ensure a dynamic of GE’s sustainable growth on education, health, general public services, defense, public order and safety. Based on the developed econometric models, values of endogenous variables (GE per capita) can be estimated depending on the variants of predictable scenarios for the size of the GDP per capita. Mathematical models based on the simple regression equation were used in social science fields [20, 21] interpreting the relationships between: the GDP and the final consumption [8, 22, 23], local public expenditures and local GDP growth rates [24], GDP, education and degree of civilization [14], e-commerce and influencing factors [25], in evaluating employee performance [26], companies financial performance [27] or to identify the correlations between the number of employees and the financial performance indicators [28]. The research provides useful information to substantiate micro and macroeconomic decisions designed to ensure a dynamic of GE's sustainable growth on education, health, general public services, defense, public order and safety. 2.DATA COLLECTION AND VARIABLE DESCRIPTION The methodology used for data modeling has the established structure, customized to analyze the five systems of interdependent variables (GE per capita - on five categories of expenditures - and GDP per capita) by simultaneous regression equations. Three alternative explanations are used to describe the relationship between the dynamics of GE on the period 2009-2018, and are subject to analysis by developing and attesting the viability of econometric models that refer to: (1) Econometric analysis with simultaneous equations of the dynamics of GE per capita, by types of expenditures, depending on the dynamics of the GDP per capita of RO; (2) Analysis of the dynamics of GE per capita, by types of expenditures, depending on the dynamics of GDP per capita for EU27; (3) Comparative analysis regarding GE per capita, by types of expenditures, in the period 2009-2018 in seven states in the Eastern-EU (RO, Poland (PL), Greece (GR), Bulgaria (BG), Slovenia (SI), Slovakia (SK) and Hungary (HU)). The result obtained can signal the need for and application of economic growth scenarios to reduce the calculated gap estimate: 37 years. 3.2.ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS WITH SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS OF THE DYNAMICS OF GE PER CAPITA, BY TYPES OF EXPENDITURES, DEPENDING ON THE DYNAMICS OF THE GDP PER INHABITANT OF RO In the case of GE on average education per capita, no viable model of correlation with GDP per capita is identified. |
Author | PASCHIA, LILIANA MIHAILESCU, NICOLAE UZLAU, MARILENA CARMEN ENE, CORINA MARIA GUDANESCU NICOLAU, NICOLETA LUMINITA STANESCU, SORINA GEANINA IONESCU, CONSTANTIN AURELIAN COMAN, MIHAELA DENISA |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: MARILENA CARMEN surname: UZLAU fullname: UZLAU, MARILENA CARMEN organization: Hyperion University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economics, 030615 Bucharest, Romania – sequence: 2 givenname: NICOLAE surname: MIHAILESCU fullname: MIHAILESCU, NICOLAE organization: Hyperion University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economics, 030615 Bucharest, Romania – sequence: 3 givenname: CORINA MARIA surname: ENE fullname: ENE, CORINA MARIA organization: Hyperion University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economics, 030615 Bucharest, Romania – sequence: 4 givenname: CONSTANTIN AURELIAN surname: IONESCU fullname: IONESCU, CONSTANTIN AURELIAN organization: Hyperion University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economics, 030615 Bucharest, Romania – sequence: 5 givenname: LILIANA surname: PASCHIA fullname: PASCHIA, LILIANA organization: Hyperion University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economics, 030615 Bucharest, Romania – sequence: 6 givenname: NICOLETA LUMINITA surname: GUDANESCU NICOLAU fullname: GUDANESCU NICOLAU, NICOLETA LUMINITA organization: Hyperion University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economics, 030615 Bucharest, Romania. / Romanian Academy, Institute of National Economy, 050711 Bucharest, Romania – sequence: 7 givenname: SORINA GEANINA surname: STANESCU fullname: STANESCU, SORINA GEANINA organization: Valahia University of Targoviste, Institute of Multidisciplinary Research for Science and Technology, 130004 Targoviste, Romania – sequence: 8 givenname: MIHAELA DENISA surname: COMAN fullname: COMAN, MIHAELA DENISA organization: Valahia University of Targoviste, Institute of Multidisciplinary Research for Science and Technology, 130004 Targoviste, Romania |
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Cites_doi | 10.1038/nmeth.3627 10.1080/00949655.2019.1635598 10.1080/09654313.2018.1480707 10.5089/9781455202188.001 10.1093/0198286635.001.0001 10.1016/S2212-5671(14)00101-4 10.7551/mitpress/9780262028356.001.0001 10.24818/18423264/53.1.19.12 10.1556/204.2020.00009 10.1556/aoecon.61.2011.3.3 10.1057/ejdr.2011.62 10.1257/aer.100.2.573 10.1016/S2212-5671(14)00058-6 10.1201/9780429244018 10.1007/978-3-642-45037-2_12 10.1007/978-3-030-19226-6 10.1016/0165-1889(95)00929-9 10.1007/s40953-019-00157-z 10.1080/000368499323599 10.1504/IJCEE.2016.073370 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2003.05.004 10.1177/105381510602800405 10.1080/13504850701719892 10.1556/032.2018.68.2.2 |
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SubjectTerms | Comparative analysis Data collection Dynamics Econometrics Economic analysis Economic development Economic growth Education Expenditures GDP Government spending Gross Domestic Product Growth rate Macroeconomics Mathematical models Per capita Performance evaluation Public services Regression analysis Simultaneous equations Variables |
Title | MATHEMATICAL ASSESSMENT ON DYNAMICS OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT PER CAPITA, IN ROMANIA AND EUROPEAN UNION |
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