MATHEMATICAL ASSESSMENT ON DYNAMICS OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT PER CAPITA, IN ROMANIA AND EUROPEAN UNION

The research purpose represents the identification and mathematical definition of some models expressed by regression equations describing the GE per inhabitant according to the GDP per inhabitant. The study is customized at EU level and in seven states located in the Eastern-EU (RO, PL, GR, BG, SI,...

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Published inJournal of the sciences and arts Vol. 21; no. 1; pp. 199 - 220
Main Authors UZLAU, MARILENA CARMEN, MIHAILESCU, NICOLAE, ENE, CORINA MARIA, IONESCU, CONSTANTIN AURELIAN, PASCHIA, LILIANA, GUDANESCU NICOLAU, NICOLETA LUMINITA, STANESCU, SORINA GEANINA, COMAN, MIHAELA DENISA
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Targoviste Valahia State University under the authority of The National University Research Council 01.01.2021
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN1844-9581
2068-3049
DOI10.46939/J.Sci.Arts-21.1-a16

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Abstract The research purpose represents the identification and mathematical definition of some models expressed by regression equations describing the GE per inhabitant according to the GDP per inhabitant. The study is customized at EU level and in seven states located in the Eastern-EU (RO, PL, GR, BG, SI, SK and HU) for the period 2009-2018. The research methodology is based on econometric modelling and testing of their viability. Relevant conclusions are also made regarding RO's position in the European Union in terms of government spending. The research provides useful information to substantiate micro and macroeconomic decisions designed to ensure a dynamic of GE’s sustainable growth on education, health, general public services, defense, public order and safety. Based on the developed econometric models, values of endogenous variables (GE per capita) can be estimated depending on the variants of predictable scenarios for the size of the GDP per capita.
AbstractList The research purpose represents the identification and mathematical definition of some models expressed by regression equations describing the GE per inhabitant according to the GDP per inhabitant. The study is customized at EU level and in seven states located in the Eastern-EU (RO, PL, GR, BG, SI, SK and HU) for the period 2009-2018. The research methodology is based on econometric modelling and testing of their viability. Relevant conclusions are also made regarding RO's position in the European Union in terms of government spending. The research provides useful information to substantiate micro and macroeconomic decisions designed to ensure a dynamic of GE’s sustainable growth on education, health, general public services, defense, public order and safety. Based on the developed econometric models, values of endogenous variables (GE per capita) can be estimated depending on the variants of predictable scenarios for the size of the GDP per capita.
Mathematical models based on the simple regression equation were used in social science fields [20, 21] interpreting the relationships between: the GDP and the final consumption [8, 22, 23], local public expenditures and local GDP growth rates [24], GDP, education and degree of civilization [14], e-commerce and influencing factors [25], in evaluating employee performance [26], companies financial performance [27] or to identify the correlations between the number of employees and the financial performance indicators [28]. The research provides useful information to substantiate micro and macroeconomic decisions designed to ensure a dynamic of GE's sustainable growth on education, health, general public services, defense, public order and safety. 2.DATA COLLECTION AND VARIABLE DESCRIPTION The methodology used for data modeling has the established structure, customized to analyze the five systems of interdependent variables (GE per capita - on five categories of expenditures - and GDP per capita) by simultaneous regression equations. Three alternative explanations are used to describe the relationship between the dynamics of GE on the period 2009-2018, and are subject to analysis by developing and attesting the viability of econometric models that refer to: (1) Econometric analysis with simultaneous equations of the dynamics of GE per capita, by types of expenditures, depending on the dynamics of the GDP per capita of RO; (2) Analysis of the dynamics of GE per capita, by types of expenditures, depending on the dynamics of GDP per capita for EU27; (3) Comparative analysis regarding GE per capita, by types of expenditures, in the period 2009-2018 in seven states in the Eastern-EU (RO, Poland (PL), Greece (GR), Bulgaria (BG), Slovenia (SI), Slovakia (SK) and Hungary (HU)). The result obtained can signal the need for and application of economic growth scenarios to reduce the calculated gap estimate: 37 years. 3.2.ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS WITH SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS OF THE DYNAMICS OF GE PER CAPITA, BY TYPES OF EXPENDITURES, DEPENDING ON THE DYNAMICS OF THE GDP PER INHABITANT OF RO In the case of GE on average education per capita, no viable model of correlation with GDP per capita is identified.
Author PASCHIA, LILIANA
MIHAILESCU, NICOLAE
UZLAU, MARILENA CARMEN
ENE, CORINA MARIA
GUDANESCU NICOLAU, NICOLETA LUMINITA
STANESCU, SORINA GEANINA
IONESCU, CONSTANTIN AURELIAN
COMAN, MIHAELA DENISA
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SubjectTerms Comparative analysis
Data collection
Dynamics
Econometrics
Economic analysis
Economic development
Economic growth
Education
Expenditures
GDP
Government spending
Gross Domestic Product
Growth rate
Macroeconomics
Mathematical models
Per capita
Performance evaluation
Public services
Regression analysis
Simultaneous equations
Variables
Title MATHEMATICAL ASSESSMENT ON DYNAMICS OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT PER CAPITA, IN ROMANIA AND EUROPEAN UNION
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