On sequential estimation of an autoregressive parameter

We study the estimation problem for the first-order autoregressive model The asymptotic behavior of the classical maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) (when the number of observation n tends to infinity) differs essentially between the cases of stable, near stable and explosive models. The main result...

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Published inStochastics and stochastics reports Vol. 60; no. 3-4; pp. 219 - 240
Main Authors Shiryaev, A.N., Spokoiny, V.G.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Gordon and Breach Science Publishers 01.04.1997
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ISSN1045-1129
DOI10.1080/17442509708834107

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Abstract We study the estimation problem for the first-order autoregressive model The asymptotic behavior of the classical maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) (when the number of observation n tends to infinity) differs essentially between the cases of stable, near stable and explosive models. The main result of the paper claims the possibility to obtain the universal standard normal limit distribution making use of the random normalizing factor for the divergence where N is a proper stopping time
AbstractList We study the estimation problem for the first-order autoregressive model The asymptotic behavior of the classical maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) (when the number of observation n tends to infinity) differs essentially between the cases of stable, near stable and explosive models. The main result of the paper claims the possibility to obtain the universal standard normal limit distribution making use of the random normalizing factor for the divergence where N is a proper stopping time
Author Shiryaev, A.N.
Spokoiny, V.G.
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Snippet We study the estimation problem for the first-order autoregressive model The asymptotic behavior of the classical maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) (when the...
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SubjectTerms 1991 Mathematics Subject Classification: 62L12, 62M10
Autoregressive parameter
least square estimator
maximum likelihood estimator
sequential estimation
stopping time
Title On sequential estimation of an autoregressive parameter
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