Évaluation du risque de récidive au sein d'une population de délinquants incarcérés ou internés en Belgique francophone
Cette étude évalue la validité convergente et prédictive de l'échelle de la Psychopathie de Hare (PCL-R), de la Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) et de la Historical, Clinical-Risk 20 items (HCR-20). La population est composée de délinquants libérés de prison de haute sécurité ou d'un h...
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Published in | Annales médico psychologiques Vol. 163; no. 10; pp. 842 - 845 |
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Main Authors | , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | French |
Published |
Elsevier SAS
01.12.2005
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Abstract | Cette étude évalue la validité convergente et prédictive de l'échelle de la Psychopathie de Hare (PCL-R), de la
Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) et de la
Historical, Clinical-Risk 20 items (HCR-20). La population est composée de délinquants libérés de prison de haute sécurité ou d'un hôpital sécuritaire en Belgique. L'analyse de la qualité convergente entre les trois instruments montre qu'ils sont fortement corrélés (>
0,70). L'analyse de la qualité prédictive du score total de chaque instrument à partir des coefficients de corrélation, des courbes ROC (
Receiver Operating Characteristics), ainsi que les courbes de survies suggèrent une qualité prédictive modérée pour la récidive générale et violente.
This study assesses the convergent and predictive validities of the Psychopathy Checklist-Revised (PCL-R), the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) and the Historical-Clinical-and Risk management (HCR-20). The Population was composed of inmates or forensic patients coming from either high security prisons or a forensic hospital. The three instruments were highly correlated (>
0.70), sharing a large common variance. The ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics), survival curves analyses and correlation coefficients suggested that the PCL-R, the VRAG and the HCR-20 presented a moderate predictive validity both for general and violent recidivism. |
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AbstractList | Cette étude évalue la validité convergente et prédictive de l'échelle de la Psychopathie de Hare (PCL-R), de la
Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) et de la
Historical, Clinical-Risk 20 items (HCR-20). La population est composée de délinquants libérés de prison de haute sécurité ou d'un hôpital sécuritaire en Belgique. L'analyse de la qualité convergente entre les trois instruments montre qu'ils sont fortement corrélés (>
0,70). L'analyse de la qualité prédictive du score total de chaque instrument à partir des coefficients de corrélation, des courbes ROC (
Receiver Operating Characteristics), ainsi que les courbes de survies suggèrent une qualité prédictive modérée pour la récidive générale et violente.
This study assesses the convergent and predictive validities of the Psychopathy Checklist-Revised (PCL-R), the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) and the Historical-Clinical-and Risk management (HCR-20). The Population was composed of inmates or forensic patients coming from either high security prisons or a forensic hospital. The three instruments were highly correlated (>
0.70), sharing a large common variance. The ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics), survival curves analyses and correlation coefficients suggested that the PCL-R, the VRAG and the HCR-20 presented a moderate predictive validity both for general and violent recidivism. |
Author | Pham, T.H. Réveillère, C. Marghem, B. Ducro, C. |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: T.H. surname: Pham fullname: Pham, T.H. email: thierry.pham@crds.be organization: Centre de recherche en défense sociale (CRDS), 94, rue Despars, 7500, Tournai, Belgique – sequence: 2 givenname: C. surname: Ducro fullname: Ducro, C. organization: Centre de recherche en défense sociale (CRDS), 94, rue Despars, 7500, Tournai, Belgique – sequence: 3 givenname: B. surname: Marghem fullname: Marghem, B. organization: Centre de recherche en défense sociale (CRDS), 94, rue Despars, 7500, Tournai, Belgique – sequence: 4 givenname: C. surname: Réveillère fullname: Réveillère, C. organization: Université de Tours, France |
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Cites_doi | 10.1177/0093854800027001006 10.1080/080394801681019093 10.1080/095851800362445 10.1177/0093854893020004001 10.1016/j.amp.2005.10.016 10.1348/135532599167798 10.1111/j.2044-8333.1998.tb00354.x 10.1037/0022-006X.67.6.917 10.1176/ajp.141.1.10 10.1080/10683160208401807 10.1037/0003-066X.51.9.945 10.1002/bsl.579 10.1037/1040-3590.13.2.171 10.1192/bjp.177.4.303 10.1016/0160-2527(88)90012-X 10.1037/0022-006X.63.5.737 10.1002/1099-0798(200010)18:5<623::AID-BSL409>3.0.CO;2-W 10.1016/S0013-7006(04)95459-0 10.7202/004752ar 10.1177/107906320401600101 |
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Keywords | Psychopathie Récidive HCR-20 Recidivism PCL-R VRAG Psychopathy |
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Abuse doi: 10.1177/107906320401600101 contributor: fullname: Hildebrand |
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Title | Évaluation du risque de récidive au sein d'une population de délinquants incarcérés ou internés en Belgique francophone |
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