Firm Solar Power Forecasting With Photovoltaic Overbuilding and Battery Storage in Northeastern China

• Published in: IEEE transactions on industry applications pp. 1 - 11
• Main Authors: Gao, Qi, Yang, Dazhi, Yang, Guoming, Zhang, Hao, Liu, Bai, Chen, Yun, Shen, Yanbo, Xia, Xiang'ao
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: IEEE 2025
• Subjects: Batteries; Battery storage; Costs; Electricity; Firm power forecasting; Forecasting; Levelized cost of energy; Model chain; Numerical models; Overbuilding & proactive curtailing; Photovoltaic systems; Predictive models; Solar irradiance; Weather forecasting

Due to the intermittency and variability of solar irradiance, photovoltaic power is accompanied by high uncertainties, making it non-dispatchable. To overcome this inherent limitation, this work first considers a physical model chain to improve the conversion accuracy from weather forecasts to photo...