Simple Solutions to Complex Catastrophes Dialectics of Peace, Climate, Finance, and Health

This open access book sets out simple solutions to managing complex catastrophes. It focusses on four kinds of crises – climate change, crime-war cascades, epidemics and financial crises. These catastrophes are conceived as complex and prone to cascade effects. This book is optimistic in explaining...

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Main Author Braithwaite, John
Format eBook
LanguageEnglish
Published Cham Springer Nature 2024
Springer Nature Switzerland
Palgrave Macmillan
Edition1
SeriesSustainable Development Goals Series
Subjects
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Abstract This open access book sets out simple solutions to managing complex catastrophes. It focusses on four kinds of crises – climate change, crime-war cascades, epidemics and financial crises. These catastrophes are conceived as complex and prone to cascade effects. This book is optimistic in explaining that there are identifiable simple institutions that international society can strengthen and some simple principles that can help humankind to control the expanding gamut of complex catastrophes that confront the planet including simple, stable institutions and regulatory bodies. It draws on a wide range of current and past crises and challenges, from the Cold War to COVID-19, and from Weapons of Mass Destruction to restorative diplomacy with States like China, to provide an urgent and timely path forward. It speaks to those interested in criminology, public policy and international relations, political science, sociology, public health and economics.
AbstractList This open access book sets out simple solutions to managing complex catastrophes. It focusses on four kinds of crises – climate change, crime-war cascades, epidemics and financial crises. These catastrophes are conceived as complex and prone to cascade effects. This book is optimistic in explaining that there are identifiable simple institutions that international society can strengthen and some simple principles that can help humankind to control the expanding gamut of complex catastrophes that confront the planet including simple, stable institutions and regulatory bodies. It draws on a wide range of current and past crises and challenges, from the Cold War to COVID-19, and from Weapons of Mass Destruction to restorative diplomacy with States like China, to provide an urgent and timely path forward. Braithwaite argues that improved peacemaking, and step by step progress toward abolition of Weapons of Mass Destruction helps prevent environmental, pandemic, and financial catastrophes. His method across four kinds of crises is first to prioritize simple principles and simple institutions that prevent coupled catastrophes from cascading one to the other. The next step is to pursue requisite variety in responses by diagnosing dialectically when additional interventions will and will not add value for crisis control. Braithwaite argues that minimal sufficiency of deterrence, responsive regulation of risks, and restorative diplomacy offer superior theoretical foundations than realism in international relations theory andin organizational crime control. It speaks to those interested in criminology, public policy and international relations, political science, sociology, public health and economics.
This open access book sets out simple solutions to managing complex catastrophes. It focusses on four kinds of crises – climate change, crime-war cascades, epidemics and financial crises. These catastrophes are conceived as complex and prone to cascade effects. This book is optimistic in explaining that there are identifiable simple institutions that international society can strengthen and some simple principles that can help humankind to control the expanding gamut of complex catastrophes that confront the planet including simple, stable institutions and regulatory bodies. It draws on a wide range of current and past crises and challenges, from the Cold War to COVID-19, and from Weapons of Mass Destruction to restorative diplomacy with States like China, to provide an urgent and timely path forward. It speaks to those interested in criminology, public policy and international relations, political science, sociology, public health and economics.
Author Braithwaite, John
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Snippet This open access book sets out simple solutions to managing complex catastrophes. It focusses on four kinds of crises – climate change, crime-war cascades,...
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SubjectTerms China
Climate Change
Comparative politics
COVID-19
Crime and criminology
Diplomacy
Famine
Financial crisis
Global governance
Interdisciplinary studies
International relations
Pandemic
Peace studies and conflict resolution
Politics and government
Politics of Hope
Politics of Peace
Reference, Information and Interdisciplinary subjects
Regulation
Risk
SDG 16
Social services and welfare, criminology
Society and Social Sciences
States
Strong institutions
War
Weapons of Mass Destruction
Subtitle Dialectics of Peace, Climate, Finance, and Health
TableOfContents The Big Picture of Catastrophe Prevention -- Notes -- References -- 7 Containing Deadly Systems -- Averting Deforestation -- Odds of Armageddon -- Speed, Coupling, Endless Unbalancing of Equilibria: AI, MADD, Hypersonics -- Lessons from the Past -- The 'One-Eyed Man' -- Terror and the Harm Principle for Restorative Universities -- Persuading India and Pakistan -- Scaling Up Regional Dynamics of Disarmament -- Leadership by Universities for Doomsday Machine Defection -- WMD Whistleblowers, Super-Intelligence, Super-Deterrence -- Notes -- References -- 8 Imagining Restorative Diplomacy -- What is Restorative Diplomacy? -- Super-Soft Diplomacy -- Diverse Deposits in the Adversary's Bank that Compensates for Competition -- Entrepreneurial Competition, Strong Cooperation -- Great Power Dialogue -- An Overly Realist Profession -- Good and Evil in the Heart of the Spymaster -- Renewing America's Ethical Core Diplomatically -- Notes -- References -- 9 Nuclear and Regime-Change Diplomacy: the Restorative Critique -- Nuclear Diplomacy -- Nuclear Weapon Mishaps -- Nuclear Surety Inspection as Restorative Regulatory Diplomacy -- Beyond Neocon or Realist Verities -- Relational Excellence in Diplomacy -- Public Diplomacy for Uncertain Times -- The Ethos of Winning -- Interfering in the Domestic Politics of Others -- Does Foreign Electoral Interference Work? -- Violent Interventions in Foreign Domestic Politics -- Catastrophic Success -- John Mearsheimer Redeemed, Transcended -- Notes -- References -- 10 Contest Political Ritualism -- Gaming Democracy -- Slow-Food Global Politics -- Regulatory Ritualism -- Responsive Regulation to Contain Risk -- Return to Street-Level Bureaucracy -- Conclusion: Principles for Transcending Ritualism -- Notes -- References -- 11 Requisite Variety and Simple Institutional Virtues -- Thinking Dialectically About Complexity
Intro -- Contents -- About the Author -- Abbreviations -- 1 Prologue -- References -- 2 Rapid Cascades, Coupled Crises -- Speed, Coupling, Complexity -- Hyper-Hubs and Hyper-Disruption -- Slow, Simple Solutions for a Fast, Complex World -- What Kind of Simplicity Helps Manage Complexity? -- Requisite Variety -- Summary of Policy Propositions by Chapter -- The Policy Hypotheses -- Notes -- References -- 3 Containment of Crises -- Markets in Vice, Markets in Virtue from Climate to Covid -- Nuclear Weapons and Covid Cannot Be Unmade -- Conclusion -- Notes -- References -- 4 Containing Russia: Containing Nuclear Wars and Lesser Wars that Cascade -- George Kennan's Containment -- Radicalizing George Kennan and Hedley Bull Realism -- The Puzzle of Nuclear Weapon States that Rarely Invade Weak States -- Summarizing the Modern History of Invasions -- War Made Past Empires -- Why Indonesia Grows Toward Becoming a Future Great Power -- The Tunnel Vision of a Nuclear Peace -- The Nonviolence Alternative of Timor-Leste Plus 21 Abolitionist States -- Civil Resistance Often Works in Contemporary Conditions -- The Puzzle That the Wealthiest Societies are Militarily Weak -- Temporary Alliances to Contain Nuclear War Threats -- Three Historic Spikes of Short-Range Nuclear Missile Risk -- Covert Distrust of Free Russians by Western Neocons and Hawks -- Notes -- References -- 5 Containing China: Containing Temporarily -- Permanently De-Containing China and Every Society -- Cyber-Guardrails -- Containing Iran and Other 'Rogue States' -- Containing Myanmar -- Implications of Containing 'Rogue States', for Containing a 'Rogue Russia' -- Contain Threats -- Abandon Long-Term Containment of States -- Notes -- References -- 6 Institutions to Manage Threats -- Containment of Threats -- Resurrecting Andrew Mack -- Drivers of Optimism About Peace
My Controversial Simplifications -- The Ambulance Metaphor Revisited -- Many Disparate Simple Institutions -- Early Detection -- Early Response -- Overdetermined Prevention: Simple Versus Complex Dialectics -- Thinking Systemically About Simple Institutions to Prioritize -- Rally Behind Front-Line Workers of Crisis Prevention Institutions -- Notes -- References -- Correction to: Simple Solutions to Complex Catastrophes -- Correction to: J. Braithwaite, Simple Solutions to Complex Catastrophes, Sustainable Development Goals Series, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48747-7 -- Index
Title Simple Solutions to Complex Catastrophes
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