Using palaeo-climate comparisons to constrain future projections in CMIP5

• Published in: Climate of the past Vol. 10; no. 1; pp. 221 - 250
• Main Authors: Schmidt, G. A, Annan, J. D, Bartlein, P. J, Cook, B. I, Guilyardi, E, Hargreaves, J. C, Harrison, S. P, Kageyama, M, LeGrande, A. N, Konecky, B, Lovejoy, S, Mann, M. E, Masson-Delmotte, V, Risi, C, Thompson, D, Timmermann, A, Tremblay, L.-B, Yiou, P
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Katlenburg-Lindau Copernicus GmbH 05.02.2014; European Geosciences Union (EGU); Copernicus Publications
• Subjects: Analysis; Climatology; Earth Sciences; Geophysics; Global temperature changes; Physics; Sciences of the Universe

We present a selection of methodologies for using the palaeo-climate model component of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (Phase 5) (CMIP5) to attempt to constrain future climate projections using the same models. The constraints arise from measures of skill in hindcasting palaeo-climate cha...