The evolution of Arctic permafrost over the last 3 centuries from ensemble simulations with the CryoGridLite permafrost model

• Published in: The cryosphere Vol. 18; no. 1; pp. 363 - 385
• Main Authors: Langer, Moritz, Nitzbon, Jan, Groenke, Brian, Assmann, Lisa-Marie, Schneider von Deimling, Thomas, Stuenzi, Simone Maria, Westermann, Sebastian
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Katlenburg-Lindau Copernicus GmbH 26.01.2024; Copernicus Publications
• Subjects: Accretion; Active layer; Analysis; Carbon; Evolution; Ground temperatures; Heat; Hydrology; Industrialization; Northern Hemisphere; Paleoclimate; Permafrost; Precipitation; Probability theory; Simulation; Simulation methods; Soil properties; Temperature; Thermal simulation; Thickness; Vegetation; Volcanic eruptions; Arctic region

Understanding the future evolution of permafrost requires a better understanding of its climatological past. This requires permafrost models to efficiently simulate the thermal dynamics of permafrost over the past centuries to millennia, taking into account highly uncertain soil and snow properties....