Modelling Financial Markets by Self-Organized Criticality

• Published in: arXiv.org
• Main Authors: Biondo, A E, Pluchino, A, Rapisarda, A
• Format: Paper Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Ithaca Cornell University Library, arXiv.org 08.10.2015
• Subjects: Communities; Economic models; Fragility; Information dissemination; Markets; Physics - Physics and Society; Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance; Variations
• DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.1507.04298

We present a financial market model, characterized by self-organized criticality, that is able to generate endogenously a realistic price dynamics and to reproduce well-known stylized facts. We consider a community of heterogeneous traders, composed by chartists and fundamentalists, and focus on the role of informative pressure on market participants, showing how the spreading of information, based on a realistic imitative behavior, drives contagion and causes market fragility. In this model imitation is not intended as a change in the agent's group of origin, but is referred only to the price formation process. We introduce in the community also a variable number of random traders in order to study their possible beneficial role in stabilizing the market, as found in other studies. Finally we also suggest some counterintuitive policy strategies able to dampen fluctuations by means of a partial reduction of information.