Seismic hazard maps based on Neo-deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment for China Seismic Experimental Site and adjacent areas
Many devastating earthquakes inflicted heavy casualties and property losses in the seismically active China Seismic Experimental Site area (CSES: 97.5° ~ 105.5°E, 21° ~ 32°N). We performed a first-order seismic zoning based on Neo-deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) in the study area del...
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Published in | Engineering geology Vol. 291; p. 106208 |
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Main Authors | , , , , , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
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Elsevier B.V
20.09.2021
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Abstract | Many devastating earthquakes inflicted heavy casualties and property losses in the seismically active China Seismic Experimental Site area (CSES: 97.5° ~ 105.5°E, 21° ~ 32°N). We performed a first-order seismic zoning based on Neo-deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) in the study area delimited by 94° ~ 108°E and 19° ~ 35°N, containing the South-East margin of the Tibetan Plateau and the Sichuan-Yunnan region. The seismic hazard is expressed by maps of peak ground displacement (PGD), peak ground velocity (PGV) and design ground acceleration (DGA) values, extracted from synthetic seismograms computed at a regional scale and mapped on a regular grid of 0.2° × 0.2° over the study area. For the computation of synthetic seismograms, we considered and updated all the available geophysical-geological-tectonic information, including historical and instrumental earthquake catalogues, seismogenic zones, seismogenic nodes, focal mechanisms, and geophysical structural models. We tested the performance of our assessments with available data (i.e., after the Great Wenchuan (2008, May 12th, Ms = 8.0) and Lushan (2013, April 20th, Ms = 7.0) earthquakes) and verified the negligible influence of large events located “far” from the study area. The results indicate the high seismic hazard of the region, with a particular attention (i.e., where DGA > 0.6 g) to the areas located around the main fault zones, e.g., the Longmenshan, Anninghe and Zemuhe Fault Zones. These first-order NDSHA zoning findings may serve as a knowledge basis to support both large- to mid-range preparedness actions and (multi-scenario) site-specific studies.
•Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment maps for China Seismic Experimental Site.•The “predictive” power of NDSHA before and after the 2008 M8.0 Wenchuan earthquake.•Validation of NDSHA against instrumental records of the 2008 M8.0 Wenchuan earthquake.•Formulation of seismic hazard maps derived from Mdesign for efficient practical applications. |
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AbstractList | Many devastating earthquakes inflicted heavy casualties and property losses in the seismically active China Seismic Experimental Site area (CSES: 97.5° ~ 105.5°E, 21° ~ 32°N). We performed a first-order seismic zoning based on Neo-deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) in the study area delimited by 94° ~ 108°E and 19° ~ 35°N, containing the South-East margin of the Tibetan Plateau and the Sichuan-Yunnan region. The seismic hazard is expressed by maps of peak ground displacement (PGD), peak ground velocity (PGV) and design ground acceleration (DGA) values, extracted from synthetic seismograms computed at a regional scale and mapped on a regular grid of 0.2° × 0.2° over the study area. For the computation of synthetic seismograms, we considered and updated all the available geophysical-geological-tectonic information, including historical and instrumental earthquake catalogues, seismogenic zones, seismogenic nodes, focal mechanisms, and geophysical structural models. We tested the performance of our assessments with available data (i.e., after the Great Wenchuan (2008, May 12th, Ms = 8.0) and Lushan (2013, April 20th, Ms = 7.0) earthquakes) and verified the negligible influence of large events located “far” from the study area. The results indicate the high seismic hazard of the region, with a particular attention (i.e., where DGA > 0.6 g) to the areas located around the main fault zones, e.g., the Longmenshan, Anninghe and Zemuhe Fault Zones. These first-order NDSHA zoning findings may serve as a knowledge basis to support both large- to mid-range preparedness actions and (multi-scenario) site-specific studies.
•Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment maps for China Seismic Experimental Site.•The “predictive” power of NDSHA before and after the 2008 M8.0 Wenchuan earthquake.•Validation of NDSHA against instrumental records of the 2008 M8.0 Wenchuan earthquake.•Formulation of seismic hazard maps derived from Mdesign for efficient practical applications. |
ArticleNumber | 106208 |
Author | Wu, Zhongliang Jiang, Changsheng Romanelli, Fabio Peresan, Antonella Gao, Shanghua Panza, Giuliano F. Kossobokov, Vladimir G. Zhang, Yan Vaccari, Franco |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Yan surname: Zhang fullname: Zhang, Yan organization: Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China – sequence: 2 givenname: Fabio surname: Romanelli fullname: Romanelli, Fabio email: romanel@units.it organization: Department of Mathematics and Geosciences, University of Trieste, via E. Weiss 4, 34128 Trieste, Italy – sequence: 3 givenname: Franco surname: Vaccari fullname: Vaccari, Franco organization: Department of Mathematics and Geosciences, University of Trieste, via E. Weiss 4, 34128 Trieste, Italy – sequence: 4 givenname: Antonella surname: Peresan fullname: Peresan, Antonella organization: National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics CRS-OGS, Udine, Italy – sequence: 5 givenname: Changsheng surname: Jiang fullname: Jiang, Changsheng organization: Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China – sequence: 6 givenname: Zhongliang surname: Wu fullname: Wu, Zhongliang organization: Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China – sequence: 7 givenname: Shanghua surname: Gao fullname: Gao, Shanghua organization: Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China – sequence: 8 givenname: Vladimir G. surname: Kossobokov fullname: Kossobokov, Vladimir G. organization: Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia – sequence: 9 givenname: Giuliano F. surname: Panza fullname: Panza, Giuliano F. organization: Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China |
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