Forecasting Recurrent Large Earthquakes From Paleoearthquake and Fault Displacement Data

• Published in: Journal of geophysical research. Solid earth Vol. 130; no. 2
• Main Authors: Griffin, Jonathan D., Wang, Ting, Stirling, Mark W., Gerstenberger, Matthew C.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: 01.02.2025
• Subjects: Bayesian methods; earthquake forecasting; paleoearthquake; slip rates

Long recurrence intervals of large earthquakes relative to the historical record mean that geological data are often utilized to inform forecasts of future events. Geological data from any particular fault may constrain the timing of past earthquakes (paleoearthquake data), or simply the time period...