Earthquake potential in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block based on contemporary GPS strain rates and seismicity

Historically, devastating major earthquakes have occurred frequently in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block. Thus, identifying possible locations of future catastrophic earthquakes in these regions is urgent both in the scientific community and in the public. For this purpose, we at first comput...

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Published inTectonophysics Vol. 824; p. 229224
Main Authors Zhu, Shoubiao, Chen, Jie, Shi, Yaolin
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Amsterdam Elsevier B.V 05.02.2022
Elsevier BV
Subjects
Deformation
Earthquake potential
Earthquake prediction
Earthquakes
Environmental risk
Geological hazards
Geology
GPS data
Graben
High strain rate
Ordos Block
Seismic activity
Seismic hazard
Seismicity
Strain rates
Vectors
GPS data
Seismic hazard
Earthquake potential
Ordos Block
Strain rates
Seismicity
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Abstract Historically, devastating major earthquakes have occurred frequently in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block. Thus, identifying possible locations of future catastrophic earthquakes in these regions is urgent both in the scientific community and in the public. For this purpose, we at first compute strain rates by means of GPS vectors and b-value from seismicity, then obtain geodetic earthquake potential. The calculation results show that high strain rates are mainly distributed in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block with very small deformation in the interior of the Block, in good agreement with geology and seismicity. Based on seismic potential, considering historical and modern seismicity, and neotectonic structures together, we conclude that the west end of the Weihe Graben, southwest corner of the Ordos, is the most likely earthquake-prone area in future. Secondary risk regions for future strong earthquakes are located on the intersection between the Haiyuan fault and Liupanshan fault in the eastern Tibet, in the Yinchuan Graben and southwest of Hohhot around the Ordos Block. Therefore, this work may be significant for predicting earthquake risk and assessment of seismic hazard. •Strain rates are calculated using updated GPS data.•Earthquake potential is obtained based on strain rates and seismicity.•High-risk area is the west end of the Weihe Graben, southwest corner of the Ordos.
AbstractList Historically, devastating major earthquakes have occurred frequently in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block. Thus, identifying possible locations of future catastrophic earthquakes in these regions is urgent both in the scientific community and in the public. For this purpose, we at first compute strain rates by means of GPS vectors and b-value from seismicity, then obtain geodetic earthquake potential. The calculation results show that high strain rates are mainly distributed in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block with very small deformation in the interior of the Block, in good agreement with geology and seismicity. Based on seismic potential, considering historical and modern seismicity, and neotectonic structures together, we conclude that the west end of the Weihe Graben, southwest corner of the Ordos, is the most likely earthquake-prone area in future. Secondary risk regions for future strong earthquakes are located on the intersection between the Haiyuan fault and Liupanshan fault in the eastern Tibet, in the Yinchuan Graben and southwest of Hohhot around the Ordos Block. Therefore, this work may be significant for predicting earthquake risk and assessment of seismic hazard.
Historically, devastating major earthquakes have occurred frequently in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block. Thus, identifying possible locations of future catastrophic earthquakes in these regions is urgent both in the scientific community and in the public. For this purpose, we at first compute strain rates by means of GPS vectors and b-value from seismicity, then obtain geodetic earthquake potential. The calculation results show that high strain rates are mainly distributed in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block with very small deformation in the interior of the Block, in good agreement with geology and seismicity. Based on seismic potential, considering historical and modern seismicity, and neotectonic structures together, we conclude that the west end of the Weihe Graben, southwest corner of the Ordos, is the most likely earthquake-prone area in future. Secondary risk regions for future strong earthquakes are located on the intersection between the Haiyuan fault and Liupanshan fault in the eastern Tibet, in the Yinchuan Graben and southwest of Hohhot around the Ordos Block. Therefore, this work may be significant for predicting earthquake risk and assessment of seismic hazard. •Strain rates are calculated using updated GPS data.•Earthquake potential is obtained based on strain rates and seismicity.•High-risk area is the west end of the Weihe Graben, southwest corner of the Ordos.
ArticleNumber 229224
Author Shi, Yaolin
Chen, Jie
Zhu, Shoubiao
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  fullname: Shi, Yaolin
  organization: Key Lab of Computational Geodynamics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
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CitedBy_id crossref_primary_10_1080_19475705_2023_2286902
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Keywords GPS data
Seismic hazard
Earthquake potential
Ordos Block
Strain rates
Seismicity
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SSID ssj0006156
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Snippet Historically, devastating major earthquakes have occurred frequently in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block. Thus, identifying possible locations of future...
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crossref
elsevier
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StartPage 229224
SubjectTerms Deformation
Earthquake potential
Earthquake prediction
Earthquakes
Environmental risk
Geological hazards
Geology
GPS data
Graben
High strain rate
Ordos Block
Seismic activity
Seismic hazard
Seismicity
Strain rates
Vectors
Title Earthquake potential in the peripheral zones of the Ordos Block based on contemporary GPS strain rates and seismicity
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2022.229224
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2641054110
Volume 824
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