Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition
Moore, Don A., Swift, Samuel A., Minster, Angela, Mellers, Barbara, Ungar, Lyle, Tetlock, Philip, Yang, Heather H. J., Tenney, Elizabeth R.
Published in Management science (01.11.2017)
Published in Management science (01.11.2017)
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Journal Article
Wide of the mark: Evidence on the underlying causes of overprecision in judgment
Moore, Don A., Carter, Ashli B., Yang, Heather H.J.
Published in Organizational behavior and human decision processes (01.11.2015)
Published in Organizational behavior and human decision processes (01.11.2015)
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Journal Article