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The Farm Factor: How Will Kisans Vote? [Times Nation]: That a big majority of voters in MP, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Telangana are farmers is not news. What's interesting is how the interplay between erratic rainfall distribution and govt support schemes will influence rural voting patterns. TOI harvests the key positives and negatives for each incumbent

The Farm Factor: How Will Kisans Vote? [Times Nation]: That a big majority of voters in MP, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Telangana are farmers is not news. What's interesting is how the interplay between erratic rainfall distribution and govt support schemes will influence rural voting patterns. TOI harvests the key positives and negatives for each incumbent

by MPHigh farm output, steady farmer income were major votecatchers for Shivraj Singh Chouhan This time looks different Farm output growth has slowed, erratic monsoon has meant a dry August, early September heavy rains severely affecting many crops including soybean cotton, pulse Take soybean Its cultivated on 5560 lakh hectares MP contributes around 50 of the national soybean out put That gives an idea of how potentially deep farmer disaffection may be running Crop losses are supposed to be covered by crop insurance But payout happens only after surveys which takes time Last kharif, rabi season crop insurance money was released just a few days back This years losses are hitting kisans as polls loom Congress says farmer suicides are up, farmer incomes are down BJP has its work cut out more so because by fielding Union agriculture minister Narender Singh Tomar it may have given Congress an easy targetChhattisgarhBhupesh Baghel is hoping to ride on what Congress claims is the success of his paddy procurement scheme Baghel swept to office in 2018 on the back of a Rs 2500 per quintal procurement price promise for paddy He kept his promise, added two schemes One that gave Rs 9000 per acre per annum to all farmers owning land in the state, another procured cow dung, cow urine from farmers at a set price BJP reportedly has paid close attention to the second scheme as its straight out of its own playbook Chhattisgarh unlike large parts of MP received more evenly distributed rain, paddys sowing season started a few weeks back So the monsoon is not playing as much of a spoilsport here BJP of course is contesting Congress claims Piyush Goyal among others have challenged Baghel Modi has promised procurement for every grain But Baghel so far looks to be managing the farm factorRajasthanAs a desert state where monsoon arrives late, departs early Rajasthan always struggles with farm production Ashok Gehlot faces the same problem as Vasundara Raje did low growth in farm output CAGR Compound annual growth rate over the last decade is only 27 Groundwater levels are falling, production is skewed towards seven crops under MSP wheat mustard gram groundnut moong, soybean Farm economists say MSP must be given to a wider range of crops to encourage farmers to diversify because currently overproduction of the seven MSP crops is a major problem Farmers complain as they did during BJPs rule of rising input, labour costs, stagnating output prices Warehousing, cold storage facilities remain as patchily available under Congress as they were under BJP Rajasthan farmers arent any happier with Congress than they were with BJP Gehlot has a tough jobTelanganaKisans have been in KCRs focus since the state was born in 2014 CAGR of farm output from 201415 to 202223 is a healthy 14 KCR also started the DBT scheme Rythu Bandhu thats supposed to have been a model for Modis PMKISAN The Telangana scheme gives Rs 5000 per acre twice a year to farmers KCR claims paddy the state is second largest supplier of paddy to FCI, cotton as success stories But alls not well with Telanganas farmers KCRs government doesnt implement the Central crop insurance scheme Had the states disaster relief funds been released quickly when erratic weather affected production this wouldnt have been a big issue But that didnt happen until this year the election year when crop losses due to heavy March rainfall were quickly reimbursed How the crop insurance issue will play out is a thing to watch out for As will be the tenant farmer issue KCR gave ten ant farmers formal recognition that allowed them to get benefits like bank credit But this process has happened only once in 201516 Many tenant farmers are as of now left out of the scheme KCR must work on the farm factorReporting by Meenakshi Sharma from Indore Amarjeet Singh from Bhopal Joseph John from Raipur Srikanta Tripathy from Jaipur, Sribala Vadlapatla from Hyderabad
Published in The Times of India (Online) (10.10.2023)
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