ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions-Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs
Weisheimer, A., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Palmer, T. N., Alessandri, A., Arribas, A., Déqué, M., Keenlyside, N., MacVean, M., Navarra, A., Rogel, P.
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.11.2009)
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.11.2009)
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Journal Article
Contribution of land surface initialization to subseasonal forecast skill: First results from a multi-model experiment
Koster, R. D., Mahanama, S. P. P., Yamada, T. J., Balsamo, Gianpaolo, Berg, A. A., Boisserie, M., Dirmeyer, P. A., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Drewitt, G., Gordon, C. T., Guo, Z., Jeong, J.-H., Lawrence, D. M., Lee, W.-S., Li, Z., Luo, L., Malyshev, S., Merryfield, W. J., Seneviratne, S. I., Stanelle, T., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Vitart, F., Wood, E. F.
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.01.2010)
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.01.2010)
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Journal Article
Multi-model assessment of the impact of soil moisture initialization on mid-latitude summer predictability
Ardilouze, Constantin, Batté, L., Bunzel, F., Decremer, D., Déqué, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Douville, H., Fereday, D., Guemas, V., MacLachlan, C., Müller, W., Prodhomme, C.
Published in Climate dynamics (01.12.2017)
Published in Climate dynamics (01.12.2017)
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Reliability of decadal predictions
Corti, S., Weisheimer, A., Palmer, T. N., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Magnusson, L.
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.11.2012)
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.11.2012)
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Journal Article
Impact of snow initialization on sub-seasonal forecasts
Orsolini, Y. J., Senan, R., Balsamo, G., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Vitart, F., Weisheimer, A., Carrasco, A., Benestad, R. E.
Published in Climate dynamics (01.10.2013)
Published in Climate dynamics (01.10.2013)
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Journal Article
Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles
Thomson, M.C, Doblas-Reyes, F.J, Mason, S.J, Hagedorn, R, Connor, S.J, Phindela, T, Morse, A.P, Palmer, T.N
Published in Nature (02.02.2006)
Published in Nature (02.02.2006)
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Journal Article
Identifying the causes of the poor decadal climate prediction skill over the North Pacific
Guemas, V., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Lienert, F., Soufflet, Y., Du, H.
Published in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (27.10.2012)
Published in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (27.10.2012)
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Journal Article
Reliability of regional climate model trends
van Oldenborgh, G J, Doblas Reyes, F J, Drijfhout, S S, Hawkins, E
Published in Environmental research letters (01.01.2013)
Published in Environmental research letters (01.01.2013)
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Journal Article
Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts
Doblas‐Reyes, F. J., Weisheimer, A., Déqué, M., Keenlyside, N., McVean, M., Murphy, J. M., Rogel, P., Smith, D., Palmer, T. N.
Published in Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (01.07.2009)
Published in Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (01.07.2009)
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Journal Article
Sources of skill in near-term climate prediction: generating initial conditions
Carrassi, A., Guemas, V., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Volpi, D., Asif, M.
Published in Climate dynamics (01.12.2016)
Published in Climate dynamics (01.12.2016)
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Journal Article
Understanding Atlantic multi-decadal variability prediction skill
García-Serrano, J., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Coelho, C. A. S.
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.09.2012)
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.09.2012)
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Journal Article
Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset
Manzanas, R., Gutiérrez, J. M., Bhend, J., Hemri, S., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Torralba, V., Penabad, E., Brookshaw, A.
Published in Climate dynamics (01.08.2019)
Published in Climate dynamics (01.08.2019)
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Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction
Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Andreu-Burillo, I., Chikamoto, Y., García-Serrano, J., Guemas, V., Kimoto, M., Mochizuki, T., Rodrigues, L. R. L., van Oldenborgh, G. J.
Published in Nature communications (16.04.2013)
Published in Nature communications (16.04.2013)
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Journal Article
Impact of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in seasonal ensemble forecasts
Doblas‐Reyes, F. J., Hagedorn, R., Palmer, T. N., Morcrette, J.‐J.
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.04.2006)
Published in Geophysical research letters (01.04.2006)
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Journal Article
DEVELOPMENT OF A EUROPEAN MULTIMODEL ENSEMBLE SYSTEM FOR SEASONAL-TO-INTERANNUAL PREDICTION (DEMETER)
Palmer, T. N., Alessandri, A., Andersen, U., Cantelaube, P., Davey, M., Délécluse, P., Déqué, M., Díez, E., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Feddersen, H., Graham, R., Gualdi, S., Guérémy, J.-F., Hagedorn, R., Hoshen, M., Keenlyside, N., Latif, M., Lazar, A., Maisonnave, E., Marletto, V., Morse, A. P., Orfila, B., Rogel, P., Terres, J.-M., Thomson, M. C.
Published in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (01.06.2004)
Published in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (01.06.2004)
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Journal Article
Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
Weisheimer, Antje, Palmer, T. N., Doblas‐Reyes, F. J.
Published in Geophysical research letters (18.08.2011)
Published in Geophysical research letters (18.08.2011)
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Journal Article
Robust skill of decadal climate predictions
Smith, D. M., Eade, R., Scaife, A. A., Caron, L.-P., Danabasoglu, G., DelSole, T. M., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dunstone, N. J., Hermanson, L., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Merryfield, W. J., Mochizuki, T., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Yeager, S., Yang, X.
Published in NPJ climate and atmospheric science (17.05.2019)
Published in NPJ climate and atmospheric science (17.05.2019)
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